It seems ridiculous at all to mention it, but could Leon Draisaitl score 50 goals in 50 games? The odds are astronomically low, so probably not, but being in the process of doing so at 19 matches is impressive.
Draisaitl scored his 19th and 20th goals of the season last night. The last player to score 20 goals before their 20th match was Simon Gagne in 2005/2006.
Only six other players have done so in the last 35 seasons.
These players did so in less than 20 games played.
15- Dino Ciccarelli (1986-87) and Mario Lemieux (1995-96).
16- Lemieux (1988-89).
19- Draisaitl, Lemieux (1987-88), Bernie Nicholls (1988-89) 19, Lemieux (1992-93), Pavel Bure (1992-93), Cam Neely (1993-94) and Gagne (05-06).
Lemieux did it four times, and in three of those seasons he scored 50 goals in his first 50 games. But only one of these seasons is considered the official 50 goals in 50 games.
The official rule is 50 goals in of the team first 50 games.
In 1988-89, Lemieux scored 50 goals in 46 games, the third fastest in NHL history behind Wayne Gretzky’s 50 in 39 games in 1981-82 and 50 in 42 games in 1983-84.
Only five players in NHL history have scored 50 goals in their team’s first 50 games.
Maurice Richard was the first. He reached 50 in 50 games in 1944-45.
Mike Bossy also had 50 in 50 games in 1980-81. (Charlie Simmer scored a hat-trick in his 50th game that year, giving him 49 goals in 50 games).
Gretzky did it three times. The two aforementioned times and he scored 50 goals in 49 games in 1984-85.
Lemieux in 1988-89 and Brett Hull did it twice. He had 50 in 49 games in 1990-91 and the next season he had 50 goals in 50 games.
Gretzky holds the NHL record for most goals in 50 games. He had 61 twice in 1982 and 1984.
Four players have unofficial 50 goals in 50 games.
Jari Kurri scored his 50th in his 50th game (Oilers 53rd game) in 1984-85. He finished with 71 goals in 73 games.
Alex Mogilny scored his 50th in his 46th game (Sabers 53rd game) in 1992-93. He finished with 76 goals in 77 games.
Lemieux did it twice. In 1992-93, he scored his 50th in his 48th match (Penguins 72nd match). He scored 19 goals in the last 12 games and finished with 69 goals. Crazy. And in 1995-96, he got his 50th in his 50th game (Penguins 59th game). He finished the season with 69 goals in 70 games.
Cam Neely scored his 50th goal in his 44th game (Bruins 66th game). He finished the season with 50 goals in 49 games.
I know it’s probably silly to think about, but when a player comes so well from the start, it’s too good to ignore. Draisaitl was asked about the possibility last night. “I think it’s a little crazy to think I’ll score 50 goals in 50 games,” he said. “Right now the puck is going in for me. I do not expect to hit that state at all, but of course I will continue to shoot, and if they go in, it’s great. I know there will come a time when they probably will not go in. ”
Leon, it’s not crazy. It is fun. The NHL needs these types of scenarios. That seems unlikely, but when you include the Oilers’ powerplay success, that’s not out of the question. Goals are harder to reach in today’s match, so for Draisaitl to have a realistic shot, he has to score quite often on the man advantage. So far so good.
Draisaitl has 10 power play goals. He is in the process of breaking the Oilers’ franchise record of 20 PP goals set by Gretzky and Ryan Smyth. It is a record that looks very achievable. Oiler’s PP is deadly right now, and while it may be dropping a little more from their current 39% pace, I can not see them suddenly fighting.
Here is the division of powerplay goals of the five players who scored 50 goals in 50 games.
Richard had 11 PP markers. The NHL did not track team PP% at the time.
Bossy had 22. Islander’s PP was 29.3% in 1981.
Gretzky had 12 in 1982 with a powerplay of 25.6%. He had 11 PP goals in 1984 (25.5%) and he had 8 PP goals in 1985 (25.7%).
Lemieux had 17 in 1989 (PP of 24.5%)
Hull had 18 in 1991 (20.1%) and he had 14 PP goals in 1992 (19.2%).
If Draisaitl can score 20-25 goals on the powerplay, his chances of hitting 50 in 50 are more realistic. Of course, it’s not an easy feat, but it’s not scoring 50 in 50 either, so he needs some expertise and some “puck luck” to do that.
I know the odds are low that he can do it, but the further he gets close, the more exciting the hunt becomes. And it’s not just a hunt for 50 in 50. How about 60 goals in one season? Steven Stamkos (60 in 2012) and Alex Ovechkin (65 in 2008) are the only players to have scored 60 goals in the last 25 years.
And Draisaitl not only scores goals. He also has 20 assists. And only five other players have ever produced 20-20-40 in the first 19 games of a season. Draisaitl has a historic start.
20 goals + & 20+ assists in a season before a player’s 20th team match:
Leon Draisaitl (20-20 and 2021-22)
Mario Lemieux (22-28 in ’92 -93 + 21-30 in ’88 -89)
Bernie Nicholls (21-22 in ’88 -89)
Mike Bossy (22-24 in ’84 -85)
Wayne Gretzky (24-30 in ’84 -85)
Phil Esposito (21-22 in ’73 -74)
– StatsCentre (@StatsCentre) November 25, 2021
In those seasons over, Gretzky finished with 73-135-208, Lemieux had 85-114-99 in 1989 and 69-9-160 (60GP) in 1993, Nicholls scored 70-80-150, Esposito produced 68-77-145 and Bossy finished with 51-67-118 (67GP).
Given how many points Draisaitl has produced in the previous two seasons, it would be great if he had a massive dive into his production. I do not expect him to keep a pace of 2.10 points / game. If he produces with 1.58 points / game in his last 63 games, he finishes with 140 points. Last season in 56 games, he produced for a 1.50 P / GP clip.
Whether he scores 50 in 50, Draisaitl’s start puts him in a fantastic position to have one of the best goal-scoring and point-producing seasons in decades.
Enjoy the ride. I hope he stays close to a 50-in-50 pace for the next 10 games, because the longer he produces on this clip, the more exciting the hunt becomes.
WHAT DO I OVERVIEW?
I’m confused about some fans anger in response to this tweet.
Kassian proved over 82 games that he can produce when he is on the top line.
Worrying about what he did last year is strange to me, especially when some wingers who have been in the top six this year have not produced much at 5 × 5. It is important to produce now.
– Jason Gregor (@JasonGregor) November 25, 2021
If Kassian can fill out the top six and produce, then that is not a good thing?
He’s a third-line player, but I’d rather have a third-line player who can fill in when an injury occurs or when the regular top-six guys don’t produce. Kassian did not play well in his 27 games last year. He fought against consistency and damage. There is not much debate about that. In the playoffs, he was much better, producing 1-1-2 in four games. But the regular season was not good.
So far this season, he has eight points in 15 games. He has six on 5 × 5. He is number four on the team in 5 × 5 points / 60. It is a good production. And he has played one game in the top six.
Zach Hyman has seven points at 5 × 5. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has six. Kailer Yamomoto has four.
In one game, Dave Tippett chose to change his entire top-nine. And it worked. The Oilers won. Kassian produced three points, was robbed on a fantastic glove save by Scott Wedgewood and hit the post on a deflection. He had a solid game. Having third-line players who can move up and not look out of place is positive, right?
Kassian has proven he can produce when he plays in the top six.
From January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019, Kassian produced 22-23-45 in 82 games. He was 22nd in the entire NHL in 5 × 5 points in those 82 games. It was the only piece in his career where he played consistently in the top six. Many have mistakenly said that Kassian produced big numbers with Sedins in Vancouver. The year Kassian scored 13-15-28 on 5 × 5 he played 66 minutes with Daniel Sedin and 48 minutes with Henrik. Even the following season, when he scored 9-6-15 in 42 games, he played 118 minutes with them and had four points. An increase from his other 375 minutes for sure, but he never played very much with them in the two seasons.
He has mainly been in a bottom six role in his career outside of the 2019 calendar year. Kassian can be annoying at times to see because some games he is not involved in. If he was always consistent, he would be a mainstay in the top six, which is why he has rarely played there, but when he is offended up, he can produce.
“He knows how to play with good players,” Draisiatl said. “He reads the game really well. He’s a bidding body that goes to the web. He knows where to go to be effective and give us the space we need to make plays and create something. We love to play with him. “
The truth is, the Oilers do not have six consistently productive top-six strikers. Kailer Yamamoto had a nice 26 points in 27 games between January-March 2020, but he has not been close to that since. I think the RW rotation will create healthy competition. Jesse Puljujarvi played well last year and has this year. He was a bit of a funk the previous eight games, so Tippett chose to try something different for a game, and it worked.
I would be surprised if Puljujarvi was not in the top six regularly on the way forward. Maybe Tippett moved him down in the hope that he would get to touch the puck more. Some fans seem to take Puljujarvi’s movement as a degradation. I do not believe the head coach sees it that way. He has stated, “sometimes you’re just looking for a different look,” and for one game it worked.
The fact that Kassian has shown that he can moonlight and produce very well in the top six is a good thing in my eyes. That gives Tippett more options. If Kassian stays engaged and produces, then he might stay there for a few games. Or maybe Tippett McDavid and Draisaitl will split up again v. Vegas.
The Oilers are 14-5. They have got off to a good start. Draisaitl and McDavid have unreal offensive seasons.
RNH produces large assist totals on power play. Puljujarvi and Hyman are on pace in 60-point seasons. Kassian is on the move for 40, most of them at 5 × 5, which would be great production.
I’m confused about the anger against Kassian, despite taking advantage of his opportunity for a single match and finishing fourth on the team in 5 × 5 P / 60. I thought Oilersnation would have more players to produce?
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